It makes no sense that you get such high odds for a draw in Newcastle. For both teams, the season is solely about securing a spot in next season’s Champions League, and as things stand, both teams are currently in that elite group. Both teams are two points ahead of Nottingham Forest in 6th place and have a significantly better goal difference.

Therefore, both Newcastle and Chelsea would remain in the top five with a draw heading into the final two rounds, while a loss would be catastrophic, especially since Nottingham Forest face already relegated Leicester and are likely to win. So, even though Newcastle typically play very open matches, this could well be an exception.

Chelsea reserves got the job done

Chelsea played on Thursday with many reserves against Djurgården, so that shouldn’t have much of an impact on this game. On the other hand, Chelsea have a favorable run-in. Their second-to-last match is against Manchester United, who are only focused on the Europa League, and they finish against Nottingham Forest in what could become a direct battle for fifth place.

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One point is acceptable for both

Newcastle have a tough second-to-last round match away at Arsenal’s Emirates Stadium, but their final match against Everton looks relatively manageable, so all things considered, one point should also be quite acceptable for them. It seems like the odds here have been set as if this were a “normal” match, but with so much at stake and considering that both teams would be satisfied with a draw, the odds on a tie are way too high.

Newcastle – Chelsea

Sunday at 13:00 (CEST)

Draw

Odds 3.85 at NordicBet

Previous bets

  • Matchday 34: Brighton – West Ham: Both Teams to Score (BTS)Odds: 1.78
  • Matchday 35: Chelsea – Liverpool: Chelsea to WinOdds: 2.14

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