On Tuesday, a leaked Evolution in FC 25 Ultimate Team caused one of the biggest market crashes of the year. It all started with a simple rumor. The leak, which hinted at a new CDM Evolution with big stat and playstyle upgrades, was enough to send thousands of players scrambling to invest in cards that, ultimately, didn’t even qualify.
This wasn’t a case of false information, but of overhype and herd behavior. Nearly a million views on a single leak tweet caused a market-wide panic. The fallout revealed a valuable lesson for any FC 25 trader or investor.
What the leak said vs what actually dropped
The leaked Evolution, later revealed as Guardian of the Pitch, was supposed to offer a stat boost and multiple PlayStyle+ upgrades to a max 89-rated CDM. The tweet from FUT Agent featured Pedri and Casemiro as possible examples and fueled speculation that top-tier CDMs could finally get elite-level Evolutions.
That single tweet ignited a domino effect. Cards like Vitinha jumped from 88k to 120k. Patrick Vieira surged from 1 million to 1.5 million coins. Even mid-tier cards like Joël Gómez and Matheus Nunes were caught in the storm.
The market inflated quickly, but not rationally. Many of the cards being bought didn’t actually qualify for the Evolution. Worse, follow-up responses from the same leaker clearly stated that certain players didn’t fit, but prices still climbed.
When the actual Evo dropped and didn’t meet expectations, the result was a total crash.
Most investors didn’t wait for confirmation
One of the key mistakes made by players this week was jumping into the market without waiting for confirmed requirements. All it took was one tweet with a vague idea, not even full stats or criteria, and the market exploded.
Vitinha is the perfect example. Despite being confirmed by the leaker as not fitting, his price stayed high until the moment content dropped. Oncethe community realized he was ineligible, his value dropped by over 40k in minutes.
Joël Gómez, who was 40k before the leak, rose to 51k and is now below 36k. That is even lower than he was before the hype began.
The core issue here is simple. People bought the hype, not the facts.
See more about the problems with the leaks in this video from TheFutAccountant.
Always sell in the hype, not after
One of the golden rules of FC investing is to sell during the hype. This week was a textbook case. The moment that tweet hit timelines, investors should have listed any CDMs they were holding.
Instead, many waited for the official drop, thinking they would see another 500k Strike Force-level boost. But the Guardian of the Pitch Evo did not offer the same level of power. It is a free upgrade, which is a bonus, but it is nowhere near meta-defining.
As a result, dozens of overbought cards flooded back onto the market at a loss.
The power and risk of leaks in FC 25
Leaks are now a major part of FC 25’s ecosystem. From promo teams to Evolutions, trusted Twitter accounts often have accurate info. But context always matters. A leak about a “CDM Evo” doesn’t mean every CDM will fit. Yet many assumed exactly that.
That is the trap. Seeing a leak and investing before understanding the full details. It is not the leaker’s fault. In this case, @FootAgent even clarified that some popular cards were not eligible. But once the hype spreads, logic often disappears.
The FC 25 market reacts fast. When millions of coins are being spent based on speculation, timing is everything. Traders who sold into the hype profited. Those who waited or bought late ended up taking big losses.
Source of the leak
The tweet that started the movement came from @FootAgent on X. It mentioned Pedri and Casemiro as possible fits. The post quickly reached nearly 1 million views. You can view the full thread and discussion here:
How to approach future leaks safely
Evolutions remain the most exciting part of FC 25. But when it comes to leaks, here are safer ways to use them:
- Do not buy cards based on leaks alone. Wait for full requirements.
- Monitor replies from leakers, especially when they say “doesn’t fit.”
- Use leaks as a signal to sell cards that are already in your club.
- Keep a list of likely candidates for Evolutions, but do not rush to invest.
Examples of safe cards to watch include Theo Hernández, Bruno Fernandes, and Frimpong. These are big-name players from top clubs with high Evolvability. When they fit an Evo, they will rise, but you should only buy when confirmed.
This week’s Evo wasn’t bad, it was just overhyped
The Guardian of the Pitch Evo is decent. It gives upgrades like Block, Intercept, Press Proven+, and several passing playstyles. For players like Ben Aouar or RTTK Thuram, it is a good addition, especially for chain Evolutions.
The issue is not the quality of the Evolution itself. It is the way the hype turned it into something it was never going to be. Many expected another high-impact, meta-defining upgrade and were disappointed when it didn’t deliver.
FAQ: investing into leaks in FC 25
What caused the CDM market crash in FC 25?
A leaked Evo triggered mass buying of cards that didn’t actually fit.
Should you buy players based on leaks?
No. Wait for full requirements before making investments.
How can I profit from leaks?
Use them to sell during hype, not to buy at inflated prices.
Are leaks always accurate?
Often yes, but early details are incomplete and often misunderstood.
