The FUT Birthday promo in EA FC 25 has sent the market into absolute chaos. With daily SBCs, high-demand player picks, and must-have Evolutions, prices are fluctuating like crazy. The introduction of five-star, five-star players across the board has created new demand for certain cards, while others are crashing hard.
Ronaldo’s SBC alone caused an immediate shift in the market, skyrocketing fodder prices and reshaping investment strategies. The same happened with the Kai Havertz FUT Birthday SBC. If you’re trading or looking to make coins, understanding these market movements is key.
Cristiano Ronaldo SBC Breaks the Fodder Market
As expected, the Flashback Cristiano Ronaldo SBC has been a game-changer. Not only is he five-star, five-star, but his PlayStyles (Rapid+, Quick Step, and Finesse+) make him an endgame card. But more importantly, his massive SBC cost (around 3 million coins) has sent fodder prices soaring.
- 88-rated fodder jumped from 12K to 17K.
- 87-rated fodder saw a rise of about 3K per card.
- 90-rated players moved from 30K to 37K.
- 91-rated players stayed steady, but demand remains high.
If you invested in fodder before the promo, you’re already making serious profits. However, there’s still time to capitalize – fodder will likely rise again with more FUT Birthday SBCs dropping daily. Investing in high-rated cards before the next big SBC could be a smart move.
Meta Cards Dip, Then Rebound – Trading Opportunities Everywhere
One of the most interesting trends of the FUT Birthday promo is the “Friday crash and rebound” pattern. When the promo team was released, prices of high-end meta cards tanked as everyone rushed to open packs and sell off their cards. But just hours later, prices rebounded sharply.
- Rúben Dias FUT Birthday started at 650K, dropped to 600K, then shot up to 850K.
- Trent Alexander-Arnold was 300K at launch, then spiked to 450K within a few hours.
- Cole Palmer Fantasy dipped to 970K before rebounding to 1.15 million coins.
This cycle repeats every time a hyped promo drops. If you’re looking to trade, buying during the initial crash and flipping when prices rebound is a proven strategy. Right now, some cards are still climbing, but as more packs get opened, we could see another dip—especially on Sunday or Monday.
Fantasy FUT Cards – The Next Big Investments?
While FUT Birthday cards are dominating the market, Fantasy FUT items are still in play, especially with real-world games happening. Cards that can still earn upgrades are drawing heavy interest, and their prices are fluctuating before and after matches.
Some key players to watch:
- Matthijs de Ligt (Bayern Munich) – Potential upgrade coming, price could rise.
- Pavard & Malen – Both playing today, price spikes expected.
- Kylian Mbappé Fantasy – If PSG scores three goals today, he’ll get a 99 dribbling boost. His price already went from 1.58M to 1.9M and could go higher.
These cards typically rise before their games due to investors buying in, then drop if they don’t secure upgrades. Selling into the pre-game hype is the safest play unless you’re willing to gamble on an actual in-game performance.
Upcoming SBCs – What Could Shake the Market Next?
The market isn’t done moving. More leaked SBCs could shift prices even further:
- Michael Essien FUT Birthday – A five-star, five-star CDM with Jockey+ and Intercept+. This will likely boost demand for high-rated fodder and drop the price of meta midfielders.
- Nick Pope FUT Birthday – If he drops, watch for a dip in expensive goalkeepers like Yashin and Alisson.
- Ethan Mbappé SBC – More of a fun card, but if it’s cheap, it could take away investments from other areas.
- Freddy Ljungberg FUT Birthday Hero – Expected to be an SBC option soon, which could also shift fodder prices.
With daily SBCs guaranteed, the best move is to keep monitoring leaks and buy fodder before demand spikes.
Best Trading Strategies Right Now
With the FUT Birthday market moving rapidly, here are the best trading strategies to follow:
- Flip FUT Birthday Players – Buy during market dips (late night or early morning) and sell during peak demand (afternoon/evening). Players like Rúben Dias and Griezmann are prime targets.
- Invest in Fantasy FUT Pre-Game – Buy Fantasy FUT cards before their matches and sell into the hype before kickoff.
- Fodder Flipping – Buy 88-90 rated fodder when it dips and sell when big SBCs drop. Look for daily refreshes on FUTBIN to spot price trends.
- Sell Before SBC Drops – If a leaked SBC is coming (like Nick Pope), sell expensive alternatives before they lose value.
- Monitor Pack Supply – With so many packs being opened, expect more dips on Sunday and Monday when Weekend League rewards hit.
The FUT Birthday market is wild, but it’s also full of opportunity. If you time your trades right, there are massive profits to be made. Keep an eye on FUTBIN for live prices and be ready to buy when the market dips!
See more tips on the FUT market from TheFutAccountant here.
Frequently Asked Questions About the FUT Birthday market
Why are FUT Birthday player prices fluctuating so much?
FUT Birthday cards have extreme price swings due to their high demand and the sheer volume of packs being opened. Many traders are flipping these cards for quick profit, while Weekend League players are buying and selling based on performance needs. Expect prices to continue moving throughout the promo.
When is the best time to buy FUT Birthday cards?
The best time to buy FUT Birthday cards is usually late at night or early in the morning when pack supply is highest and demand is lower. Avoid buying right after content drops, as prices typically spike due to hype.
Should I invest in high-rated fodder right now?
Yes, investing in high-rated fodder is a solid move, as SBCs like Cristiano Ronaldo and Kai Havertz have already driven up prices. More daily SBCs are expected, which will likely keep demand strong.
Are Fantasy FUT cards still worth investing in?
Fantasy FUT cards can still be great investments if their teams have upcoming matches that could lead to upgrades. Look for players who have easy fixtures and a high chance of getting a boost.
Will FUT Birthday player prices rise or fall over time?
Most FUT Birthday cards will drop over time as more supply enters the market. However, the most meta players (like Rúben Dias and Griezmann) may hold value or even rise due to high demand.
What are the best trading methods during FUT Birthday?
Flipping FUT Birthday cards, investing in fodder before major SBCs, and buying Fantasy FUT cards before their matches are all strong strategies. Monitoring pack supply and market fluctuations is key to making profits.