The Best Time to Buy TOTY Cards in EA Sports FC 25

TOTY Team of the Year

The hype surrounding Team of the Year (TOTY) in EA Sports FC 25 has brought the market to a boiling point, with prices fluctuating wildly. Players are eager to know the best time to buy TOTY cards, especially with Cristiano Ronaldo as the 12th Man TOTY and other highly sought-after items driving the frenzy. With some key insights from last year and current patterns in mind, here’s when you should buy TOTY cards to maximize your coins.

Historical Market Trends During TOTY

Looking back at TOTY releases from FIFA 23 and FC 24 gives us an idea of what to expect in FC 25. Typically, there are two key windows to watch:

  1. Thursday Full TOTY Release
    When the entire TOTY squad enters packs, prices often dip sharply. This happens due to panic selling, as players liquidate assets in preparation for opening saved packs. For example:
  • Ruben Dias TOTY in FC 24 dropped to about 22-24% below his initial price on Thursday before rebounding significantly.
  • Theo Hernández TOTY saw a similar dip, dropping over 10% before rising by as much as 30% in the days following the release.
  1. Post-Promo Recovery
    Once players spend their saved packs and coins, demand for TOTY cards spikes. With limited supply and more players looking to buy, card prices begin to rise.

Based on these trends, Thursday and early Friday are historically the best times to buy TOTY cards.

How EA’s Pack Weight Impacts TOTY Prices

One of the most important factors in TOTY price fluctuations is pack weight—the probability of pulling TOTY players from packs.

Last year, EA made a controversial decision to halve pack weight during the full TOTY release. Despite more players being available in packs, the odds of packing a TOTY dropped significantly. This created a supply shortage and sent prices soaring.

For example:

  • Lower pack weight resulted in fewer TOTY cards hitting the market, forcing players to buy cards directly from the transfer market.
  • As supply dried up, TOTY card prices climbed by 20-30% over the weekend.

If EA reduces pack weight again this year, expect TOTY card prices to rise sharply shortly after their full release. Keep an eye on pack probabilities in the store on Thursday to anticipate this trend.

Key Predictions for TOTY Buying Windows

According to NickRTFM on YouTube here’s what you can expect during this year’s TOTY promo:

  1. Panic Selling on Thursday
    Panic selling will likely lead to a sharp drop in TOTY card prices on Thursday. This is the best window to pick up cards at a discount.
  • Expect TOTY midfielders, attackers, and defenders to drop by 10-15% during this period.
  1. Price Rebound Over the Weekend
    As more coins enter the market through pack openings, Rivals rewards, and FUT Champs, TOTY card prices are expected to rise.
  • If pack weight is low, expect a rapid increase in prices as supply dwindles and demand surges.
  1. Safe Bets: Meta Special Cards
    If you’re not ready to gamble on TOTY cards, focus on meta special cards like Neymar or Winter Wildcards. These cards often see significant gains after TOTY as players shift their focus to building competitive squads.

Strategies for Buying TOTY Cards

  1. Monitor Pack Probabilities
    On Thursday, check the pack probabilities in the store. If the odds of pulling TOTY cards are increased (e.g., from 1.5% to 2.7%), upgrades and packs become more worthwhile. If the odds decrease, TOTY cards will remain scarce, causing prices to rise.
  2. Target Panic Sell Opportunities
    Look for panic selling on Thursday and early Friday. Cards like Jude Bellingham, Mohamed Salah, and Theo Hernández could drop temporarily during this window.
  3. Buy Rare Cards
    Rare cards like TOTY defenders or goalkeepers often experience less supply and higher demand. These could be excellent investments for both long-term holds and short-term flips.
  4. Look for Out-of-Pack Specials
    Meta out-of-pack specials like Neymar or Kylian Mbappé Winter Wildcards are safer investments. These cards will rise as TOTY winds down and demand shifts back to meta items.

What to Watch For

While TOTY buying opportunities are often predictable, there are a few risks to keep in mind:

  • Pack Weight Manipulation: If EA lowers pack weight like last year, TOTY cards will be harder to pack, leading to higher market prices.
  • Lightning Rounds: Heavy lightning rounds or high-value packs (like 500k or 700k packs) could temporarily flood the market with TOTY cards, causing prices to dip.
  • Multiple Panic Waves: Expect multiple waves of panic selling, particularly on Thursday and Friday, creating short-lived buying opportunities.

Final Thoughts on TOTY Buying

The best time to buy TOTY cards in EA Sports FC 25 will likely be during periods of panic selling on Thursday or early Friday. These windows typically offer the lowest prices, particularly for TOTY attackers, midfielders, and defenders.

Monitor pack probabilities and market behavior carefully. Whether you’re investing for profit or adding a TOTY superstar to your squad, understanding these trends will help you make the most of the TOTY promo.

Frequently Asked Questions

When is the best time to buy TOTY cards?

Historically, Thursday and early Friday during the full TOTY release are the best times to buy. Prices tend to drop due to panic selling before rebounding over the weekend.

What causes TOTY prices to rise after release?

Prices rise as supply dwindles and demand increases. After players open packs and gain coins, many turn to the market to buy TOTY cards, driving prices up.

How does pack weight affect TOTY card prices?

If EA lowers pack weight, TOTY cards will be harder to pack, reducing supply and increasing prices. Monitoring pack probabilities on Thursday is key to predicting price trends.

Is panic selling common during TOTY releases?

Yes, panic selling happens frequently, especially during the full TOTY release. Players sell cards to fund pack openings or prepare for new content, creating temporary price dips.

What are safe investment options during TOTY?

Meta out-of-pack specials, such as Neymar or Winter Wildcards, are safer investments. These cards often rise in price after TOTY as players build competitive squads.

Will TOTY card prices drop further with lightning rounds?

Lightning rounds can increase supply temporarily, causing prices to dip. However, rare TOTY cards may recover quickly if demand outweighs supply.

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