The FC 27 market is in its November slide. Big gold cards like Vini Jr, Raphinha and Bonmatí have lost 20 to 30% since Friday night, while 88, 89 and 90-rated fodder has barely moved.
- What fell: meta gold cards, mostly from Saturday late morning
- How much: Vini Jr about 700K to 532K, Raphinha 500K to about 404K, Bonmatí 240K to about 189K
- What held: fodder (88s about 12K, 89s about 20K, 90s about 34K)
- Why: fewer buyers. The FUT Accountant expects many players to go untradeable or take a break before GTA 6 (19 Nov) and Black Friday (27 Nov)
- Next: another dip is expected Monday night, then a partial bounce towards Friday
about 700K Fri
about 500K Fri
about 240K Fri
about 890K Fri
FC 27 market crash: the prices
This is not a crash in every corner of the market. It is a crash in the cards people buy to play with. If your club is full of 500K+ meta cards, you have lost value since Friday. If you hold fodder, you have mostly not.
| Card | Fri 6 Nov | Weekend low | Mon 9 Nov, 11:00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vini Jr 89 LW | about 700K | about 520K | 532K |
| Alexia Putellas 91 CM | about 890K | about 685K | 699K |
| Raphinha 88 LW | about 500K | about 385K | 404K |
| Aitana Bonmatí 90 CM | about 240K | about 170K | 189K |
| Kylian Mbappé 91 ST | about 3.1M | about 2.8M | 2.9M |
| 90-rated fodder | about 33K | about 33K | 34K |
| 89-rated fodder | about 20K | about 20K | 20K |
Monday morning brought a small bounce. Raphinha and Bonmatí are up about 5 to 11% from their weekend lows. Do not read too much into it yet.
The FUT Accountant also tracked Désiré Doué falling from 824K to about 680K, after a short spike to 740K on Sunday, and Ousmane Dembélé’s Road to the Knockouts card dropping under 1.6M.
Why the FC 27 market is falling
The short answer: demand, not supply. The Accountant’s read is that players are selling their tradeable squads and switching to untradeable teams to ride out the next three weeks.
He points to two dates. GTA 6 is a different game, but it lands on 19 November and he expects it to take a lot of FC players away for a while, which means fewer buyers on the transfer market. Black Friday follows on 27 November, and older special cards can return to packs that week, as the Accountant points out. Nobody wants to hold a 700K card into that.
It happened last year too
This is the normal November pattern, not an FC 27 problem. The Accountant’s FC 26 numbers from the same weeks:
| FC 26 card | Early November | After Black Friday |
|---|---|---|
| Aitana Bonmatí 91 | 386K | 177K |
| Lionel Messi Icon | 974K | 283K |
Small bounces came between the dips, but they did not bring prices back. That is the part to remember if you are waiting for a full recovery before you sell.
Why fodder has held
Fodder lives on SBC demand, and SBC demand has not gone away. 89s sat at about 20K all weekend and 90s at 33 to 34K. The Accountant puts it simply: in a crash, fodder loses a couple of thousand coins per card, while gold meta cards lose hundreds of thousands.
There is also a reason to expect demand. The Mbappé LaLiga POTM SBC is still to come, with the leaked card at 92, and big POTM SBCs have pushed fodder up before. The Accountant also links the flat weekend to Sunday’s Liga F Player of the Month surprise, which took away a popular SBC that players had expected.
When to buy and when to sell
These are the Accountant’s views, not guarantees. His pattern for November: prices fall Saturday to Tuesday and rise on Thursday and Friday, when people build squads for Weekend League.
- Monday night: he expects another dip after the 6pm UK content.
- Monday to Tuesday: his buy window for cards you want to use during the week.
- Friday night or Saturday morning: his sell window, before the next weekend slide.
- The Friday before Black Friday: the last good sell window, in his view, before the big drop.
Our view: if you are buying to play, Tuesday is a fine time to pick up the card you want. If you are buying to profit, the bounces have been small and short, so take the profit on Friday instead of holding for 700K again.
What this means for SBCs and promos
A falling market makes promo cards cheaper but also makes them worth less when you sell. Road to the Knockouts Team 1 started cheap on Friday because of the tradeable 100K store packs, and it has kept sliding. The Road to the Knockouts upgrade tracker is a better reason to keep a card than its market price right now.
SBC costs follow fodder, and fodder has held, so SBCs have not got cheaper. The Calafiori SBC still costs about 151K and Openda about 107K. If you were waiting for the crash to make SBCs cheap, it has not.
Black Friday plans and past offers are on our FC 27 Black Friday page, and the full promo schedule is on the promo calendar.
FC 27 market crash: FAQ
Why is the FC 27 market crashing?
According to The FUT Accountant, players are selling tradeable cards and going untradeable before GTA 6 on 19 November, which he expects to take players away from FC for a while, and Black Friday on 27 November. The drop comes from lower demand, not from more cards entering the market.
When will FC 27 prices recover?
Not fully before Black Friday, if last year is a guide. Prices usually bounce a little on Thursday and Friday and fall again at the weekend. A real recovery has historically come in December.
Should I sell my FC 27 players now?
If you want to sell, Friday night or Saturday morning has been the best window. If you play with the card every day, keeping it is fine: the loss only counts if you sell.
Sources: The FUT Accountant on YouTube (7, 8 and 9 November) and X, EA SPORTS FC 27 Ultimate Team, our own price checks on Monday 9 November.
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