Black Friday is always one of the biggest and craziest moments of any FC 26 season. It brings massive promos, new power curve jumps, re-released cards, flash SBCs, heavy pack openings and a true shakeup of the entire transfer market. Every year players treat this event as both a threat and an opportunity. Those who prepare early keep their coins safe. Those who wait too long often lose millions.
Across the community there is already clear panic. Prices are dropping on key cards and traders are expecting another huge market collapse similar to the ones seen in previous EA FC cycles. Black Friday has a reputaion for completely resetting the market, and the same looks very likely this year.
In 2026, Black Friday lands on Friday, the 28th of November.
Why the FC 26 market crashes before Black Friday
The crash does not begin on Black Friday itself. It begins before it, often a week or more early. Traders look ahead, fear re-releases, expect new overpowered items and start selling meta cards. As more people sell, fewer people buy which drives the market down even harder. The cycle feeds itself until the crash becomes unavoidable.
The main causes of the Black Friday crash in FC 26 are the same ones that have defined this period for nearly a decade:
EA re-releases powerful cards
The Best Of squad almost always includes top promo cards from earlier in the year. These cards return to packs, increasing supply and sending prices downward. Because players do not know exactly which cards return, they panic-sell almost everything that looks risky.
Flash SBCs and Flash EVOs
Flash SBCs drop every few hours and last for around sixty minutes. They require specific ratings or nations which creates extreme volatility. Flash EVOs, first seen last year, create sudden demand for certain positions or rating bands. Both systems encourage huge pack openings and huge coin drains.
Upgrade spikes in Thunderstruck
Thunderstruck, which is the official Black Friday promo in FC 26, features live cards that can upgrade instantly based on real matches. This causes traders to sell older cards to save coins for the new ones. When the community senses a major power boost on the horizon, demand for current meta items collapses.
Pack openings flood the market
Black Friday is one of the most opened weekends of the entire year. Promo packs, lightning rounds and saved packs all drop at once. Supply stacks into the market and pushes prices to their lowest levels of the season.
What happened in past Black Friday crashes
Looking at older years helps predict what will happen in FC 26. In previous cycles:
- The biggest drop often happened on the Tuesday or Wednesday before Black Friday.
- High end golds lost between 20 and 40 percent of their value.
- Special cards above 100k were hit even harder if they were re-released.
- Prices sometimes had a small rebound after the first wave of panic.
- Massive trading opportunities appeared when the crash bottomed out.
This pattern repeats almost every year. The key is to know when the crash begins, not just when it ends.
Why the FC 26 crash has already quietly begun
Even though the official Thunderstruck promo has not launched yet, prices are sliding. Cards like Mbappé, Dembele and other top attackers have already fallen thousands of coins. Many traders are liquidating early because they understand that the most severe drop usually comes before EA reveals the full Black Friday content.
For high-end cards, the danger is even greater. If EA decides to add them to the Best Of re-release, they could lose huge value overnight. That is why many traders are choosing safety and selling early instead of hoping their cards survive.
How to prepare for the Black Friday crash in FC 26
There are proven ways to avoid losing coins and even profit from one of the most chaotic events of the year.
Sell cards above 100k before the heavy drop
Expensive cards get hit the hardest, especially those with the chance of returning to packs. Selling them now protects your coins and gives you flexibility later.
Stay liquid for big trading windows
Holding coins allows you to buy cards when panic bottoms out. Rebounds on special cards often happen within hours.
Stockpile fodder at minimum prices
Fodder such as 83 and 84 ratings can rise sharply during Flash SBC windows. Buying them cheap now gives you a safe investment with low risk.
Fill your club with common golds
Flash SBCs sometimes require specific nations or ratings. Common golds from major leagues can jump massively for a short period.
Avoid risky live cards before Thunderstruck
Live cards look tempting but they are the most unstable items during Black Friday. Their value can crash if they disappoint in real matches or if heavy supply hits the market.
What traders should expect during the Black Friday weekend
Thunderstruck will bring live upgrades, promo Icons, fast power boosts and large-scale pack supply. Flash SBCs will appear constantly. A new season launch will add XP rewards and objectives. Lightning rounds will push supply to its peak. All of this combines into the most violent market movement of FC 26.
For traders, this is one of the most profitable periods of the entire year. For casual players, it is one of the easiest times to be caught in a crash. The best approach is to enter the week with coins, not cards, then wait for the crash to hit its lowest point.
Black Friday in FC 26 FAQ
Why does Black Friday cause a crash in FC 26?
Because players panic-sell and EA floods the market with heavy supply.
Do prices always go back up after the crash?
Some rebound, but many never return to their old prices.
When does the crash usually start?
Often between Tuesday and Thursday before Black Friday.
Should I sell my expensive team now?
Yes if you want to avoid the heavy pre-Black Friday drop.
